Deyr rainfall (October-December) thus far has been erratically distributed and approximately 50 percent below average in most areas. Furthermore, a below-average April to June 2018 Gu season is likely. If this happens, it will mark the fifth consecutive poor season in Somalia. Over 3.1 million people are estimated to be in Crisis and Emergency (IPC Phases 3 and 4). In a worst-case scenario of very poor Deyr rainfall in December and a protracted absence of assistance, Famine (IPC Phase 5) is likely. Large-scale assistance is needed throughout 2018 to prevent the loss of lives and collapse of livelihoods.
From CARE’s analysis, famine is still possible in some parts of the Country if humanitarian intervention is not sustained. There may be no clear distinction between relief and recovery phases at the present due to the challenges of persistent food insecurity and the effects of climate change in a complex political and security context. Nonetheless, CARE’s strategy of linking emergency relief, rehabilitation, and development (3 R) ensures that both the immediate and long-term needs of affected populations are met. CARE Somalia has scaled up its emergency response to provide 1.6 million people in Crisis and Emergency (IPC 3 and 4) with lifesaving support in the most affected regions.
CARE Somalia has reached so far 842,008 people with Livelihoods, WASH, Health and Nutrition assistance in the affected areas. CARE is currently implementing emergency programs with funding from various donors. The current emergency program will be scaled up according to the rising needs.
CARE’s emergency response to drought affected communities in Somalia have provided support to:
Over 404,001 people with different services under WASH
Over 302,075 people with different services under Livelihoods
Over 75,751 people with different services under Nutrition
Over 43,505 people with different services under Protection
Over 16,676 people through different interventions under Health
Overall a total of 842,008 people have received support from CARE’s Emergency and development programs in targeted areas.